‘Paper Tiger’ Clinsman Lake Plunges the odds of winning… 5th overall → 1st place Japan + 2nd place Qatar

If this trend continues, chances are high that Korea’s bid for the Asian leadership in 64 years will end up being just a dream. Statistics Korea also ranked Korea’s fifth in the championship.

Opta, a media outlet specializing in soccer statistics, announced on the 26th (Korea time) that the tournament match will be reflected after the group stage of the 2023 Asian Football Confederation (AFC) Asian Cup is over, and the probability of winning the tournament has been readjusted. The Korean national soccer team, led by head coach Jurgen Klinsmann, ranked fifth with an 11% chance.

This is the aftermath of a series of skirmishes throughout the group league. Previously, the Korean team aimed to challenge for the top spot in Asia for the first time in 64 years ahead of this year’s Asian Games. Klinsmann, who took over as former coach Paulo Bento in March last year, also confidently shouted for the victory.

However, a series of skirmishes continued from the first match. The outcome of the first group match against Bahrain was a 3-1 victory, but the match itself was not satisfactory at all. Lee Kang-in, who had shown good condition with his team Paris Saint-Germain recently, could not have won the match without scoring two goals.

The second match against Jordan was more serious. Early in the match, Son Heung-min scored a penalty kick goal, which seemed to make it easy for the team to play, but the team allowed two consecutive goals to come from behind due to poor concentration of defense. Immediately before the end of the match, Hwang barely avoided defeat as his shot hit the opponent’s foot.

The match against Malaysia in the third round was the worst match ever. Malaysia, which is ranked 130th in the FIFA rankings, is no match for the Korean team, which is ranking 23rd in objective performance. In fact, everyone thought so. After Jung Woo-young (Stutgart) scored the first goal at the 21st minute in the first half, it seemed that the team easily secured victory.

However, Malaysia has completely broken down the national team’s defense. Taking advantage of the poor handling of the ball by the national team’s defense line, Faisal Halim scored an equalizer at six minutes in the second half, bringing the game back to square one. At 17 minutes in the second half, Arif Ayman scored a come-from-behind goal from a penalty kick, which instantly turned the game around.

Fortunately, the national team returned the game to square one when Lee Kang-in scored a free-kick equalizer. Then, in the extra time of the second half, Son Heung-min’s penalty kick came from behind to take the lead again.

The team already lost a lot of games, but failed to collect results. Immediately before the match ended, Malaysia’s Romel Morales shook the net with a picturesque mid-range shot, ending the game 3-3. Korea had to settle for a draw against Malaysia ranked 130th.

Immediately after the game, the Taegeuk Warriors also agreed to some extent that they could not be satisfied with the content and results, while asking them to refrain from excessive criticism.

Prior to the match against Malaysia, the team had a 10.3 percent chance of winning the title, ranking sixth overall. After the group league’s schedule was over and the round of 16 match was confirmed, the probability slightly increased to 11 percent. It overtook Saudi Arabia, which fell from 10.6 percent to 8.5 percent, to rank fifth.

However, if this continues, chances are high that Korea’s first Asian Cup victory in 64 years will fail. There are still four more teams ahead of Korea. The team with the highest probability of winning the title was Japan at 18.2 percent. Compared to Korea’s previous record of 14.7 percent, the figure has significantly increased.

Qatar took second place with 16.8 percent of the total. Unlike yesterday when it ranked first with 15.9 percent, the probability increased but fell one notch. The third place was Australia, which fell from 15.9 percent to 14.7 percent. It was tied for first place with Qatar, but fell to third place. Fourth place was Iran, the strongest team in the Middle East, with 12.2 percent.

The national team will play Saudi Arabia in the round of 16 of the tournament at 1 a.m. on the 31st at Alayyan Education City Stadium in Qatar. 마카오토토

South Korea is at odds with Saudi Arabia with five wins, eight draws and five losses.

In the most recent friendly match in September last year, Korea won 1-0 thanks to a goal scored by Cho Kyu-sung (Mit Whelan). At that time, the match was held in an unexpected manner at St. James’ Park in Newcastle, England, the home of the Newcastle United in the Premier League. Korea secured its first win since Jürgen Klinsmann’s appointment as coach through a match against Saudi Arabia. Now, the match against Saudi Arabia is a match in which Korea aims to advance to the quarterfinals as well as overcome its sluggish performance at the Asian Cup.


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